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Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, line: 2021 college basketball picks, Jan. 26 predictions from proven model

Texas vs. Oklahoma odds, line: 2021 college basketball picks, Jan. 26 predictions from proven model

January 26, 2021
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USATSI The fifth-ranked Texas Longhorns will look to continue their recent success over the No. 24 Oklahoma Sooners when they meet in a key Big 12 Conference matchup on Tuesday. The Longhorns (11-2) have won 20 of the past 31 meetings in the series, including four of the last […]

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USATSI

The fifth-ranked Texas Longhorns will look to continue their recent success over the No. 24 Oklahoma Sooners when they meet in a key Big 12 Conference matchup on Tuesday. The Longhorns (11-2) have won 20 of the past 31 meetings in the series, including four of the last five games played at Austin, Texas. Texas is second in the conference at 5-1 and is 6-2 on its home court. The Sooners (9-4), who are third in the Big 12 at 5-3, are 1-3 on the road this season. Texas coach Shaka Smart will miss this game after announcing he tested positive for COVID-19.

Tip-off from Frank Erwin Center is slated for 7 p.m. ET. Oklahoma leads the all-time series 56-41, but Texas holds a 23-19 edge in games played at Austin. The Longhorns are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Oklahoma vs. Texas odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 143. Before making any Texas vs. Oklahoma picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Texas vs. Oklahoma. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Oklahoma vs. Texas:

  • Oklahoma vs. Texas spread: Texas -4.5
  • Oklahoma vs. Texas over-under: 143 points
  • Oklahoma vs. Texas money line: Texas -200; Oklahoma +170
  • OU: The Sooners average 82.6 points per game in wins and 66.0 in losses
  • TEX: The Longhorns posted four wins by at least 20 points and are also 4-1 in games decided by three points or less

Latest Odds: Texas Longhorns -4.5

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Why Texas can cover

The Longhorns have four players averaging in double figures, led by junior guard Andrew Jones, who is averaging 14.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 0.9 steals per game. He was named the National Player of the Week and Big 12 Player of the Week on Jan. 11. In wins over Iowa State and West Virginia, Jones averaged 19.5 points and 4.5 rebounds, while hitting 16 of 34 field goals (47.1 percent), including 7 of 16 (43.8 percent) from 3-point range. He has played in 88 career games with 54 starts, reaching double figures 54 times, including 20 or more points nine times.

Also powering Texas is junior guard Courtney Ramey, who averages 13.9 points, 3.9 assists, 3.2 rebounds and 0.8 steals per game. He is hitting on 44.2 percent of his field goals, including 44.6 percent from 3-point range, and 79.1 percent of his free throws. Ramey has reached double figures in 12 of 13 games, including a season-high 20 points in the season opener against UT Rio Grande Valley.

Why Oklahoma can cover

The Sooners are led by senior guard Austin Reaves, who is averaging 15.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 0.9 steals per game. He is connecting on 42.6 percent of his field goals and 86.4 percent of his free throws. On Saturday against Kansas, he started 0-for-7 from the field before heating up, scoring 16 second-half points in a 75-68 victory. In the Jan. 9 game at Kansas, he led the Sooners with 20 points, nine rebounds and three assists. He also scored 19 points, grabbed seven rebounds and dished out five assists at Baylor on Jan. 6.

Also having a solid season for Oklahoma is sophomore guard De'Vion Harmon, who is averaging 12.8 points, three rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.2 steals per game. He is also red hot from the floor, hitting on 47.6 percent of his shots, including 38.8 percent from 3-point range, and 87.1 percent of his free throws. On Saturday, he led the Sooners to the upset win, scoring 22 points, four rebounds and a career-best-tying four 3-pointers.

How to make Texas vs. Oklahoma picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams to combine for 144 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oklahoma vs. Texas? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

USATSI

Tuesday's slate of games in college basketball is a sneaky good one with six ranked teams in action, a pivotal Big 12 showdown between rivals No. 5 Texas and No. 24 Oklahoma, and a road trip to Tuscaloosa, Alabama, to face No. 9 Alabama awaiting unranked Kentucky.

The headliner is the Red River rivalry as the Sooners, coming off an impressive win over Kansas, look to bag their biggest get of the season. They'll get a chance to do so against a shorthanded Texas team, too, as Texas will be without head coach Shaka Smart after he announced Monday he tested positive for COVID-19. It's also Texas' first game in 10 days after an extended hiatus because of COVID-19 issues within the programs of two opponents it was initially expected to play during that span.

Also on deck Tuesday is Duke-Georgia Tech as the Blue Devils look to avoid their longest losing streak since the 2006-2007 season, North Carolina-Pitt in The Pete and No. 18 Tennessee -- coming off its second consecutive loss -- looking to get back on track against Mississippi State at home.

Below are picks from our staff for all the big games both straight up and against the spread.

No. 24 Oklahoma at No. 5 Texas

Latest Odds: Texas Longhorns -4.5

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When: 7 p.m. | Where: Erwin Center in Austin, Texas
TV: ESPN2 | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

This is less of a Texas fade and more of me calling my shot with an Oklahoma team that's been on fire. The Sooners handily defeated Kansas over the weekend to extend their winning streak to three and look like they're firing on all cylinders right now. Texas, on the other hand, hasn't played a game since Jan. 16 and is expected to be without coach Shaka Smart, who on Monday announced he has tested positive for COVID-19. With so much uncertainty with the Longhorns I'm riding OU in an upset pick. If you dare drop a little sprinkle on the moneyline for an underdog Tuesday, this is my favorite. Prediction: Oklahoma 71, Texas 70 -- Kyle Boone


Gary Parrish Matt Norlander Jerry Palm Kyle Boone David Cobb
UT -4.5 Texas Texas Texas Texas Oklahoma
S/U Texas Texas Texas Oklahoma Texas

Kentucky at No. 9 Alabama

Latest Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -8

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When: 7 p.m. | Where: Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky
TV: ESPN | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

Even coming off a somewhat surprising double-digit win over LSU over the weekend, Kentucky by and large has, frankly, not been very good. And Alabama, frankly, has been bordering on great. The Tide are 8-0 on the season in SEC play and 5-3 on the year as a home favorite against the spread. I like them to cover the number here. Erase the Kentucky brand from your mind and look at its resume in comparison with Alabama on the year, and this should be a comfortable home win for Bama. Prediction: Alabama 80, Kentucky 70 -- Kyle Boone


Gary Parrish Matt Norlander Jerry Palm Kyle Boone David Cobb
BAMA -8.5 Alabama Kentucky Alabama Alabama Kentucky
S/U Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama Alabama

Georgia Tech at Duke

Latest Odds: Duke Blue Devils -6

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When: 9 p.m. | Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina
TV: ESPN | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

The betting market still has yet to catch up on one simple fact this season: Duke is not Duke-good. Hasn't been all year. It is 5-5 on the season and riding a three-game losing streak, and yet it is still a five-point favorite here. I don't get it. This is a chance to jump on it before the market corrects itself. The Blue Devils are 0-6 at home against the spread as a favorite this season and Georgia Tech makes it 0-7 with an outright win. Prediction: Georgia Tech 71, Duke 69 -- Kyle Boone


Gary Parrish Matt Norlander Jerry Palm Kyle Boone David Cobb
DUKE -5.5 Georgia Tech Duke Georgia Tech Georgia Tech Georgia Tech
S/U Georgia Tech Duke Georgia Tech Georgia Tech Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pitt

Latest Odds: North Carolina Tar Heels -3

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When: 7 p.m. | Where: Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh
TV: ACCN | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

Since the turn of the New Year, North Carolina's been a different team. It has won five of its last six, with the lone loss being to one of the ACC's best in Florida State. And it has done so while knocking down the likes of NC State, Syracuse and Notre Dame all in tight contests. If this is another close one -- and the line suggests it indeed will be -- I like UNC prevailing here and covering in the process. Could easily see this coming down to the Tar Heels needing to make free throws late. Prediction: North Carolina 68, Pitt 64 -- Kyle Boone


Gary Parrish Matt Norlander Jerry Palm Kyle Boone David Cobb
UNC -3 N. Carolina N. Carolina N. Carolina N. Carolina Pittsburgh
S/U N. Carolina N. Carolina N. Carolina N. Carolina Pittsburgh

Mississippi State at No. 18 Tennessee

Latest Odds: Tennessee Volunteers -9.5

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When: 7 p.m. | Where: Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tennessee
TV: SEC Network | Live stream: fuboTV (Try for free)

I get it, I get it: Tennessee of late doesn't look like the same Tennessee team we saw open its season 10-1. But in Rick Barnes we must trust. The Vols' offense has been a shell of itself in consecutive losses to Florida and Mizzou, but this sets up for a big bounceback here in Knoxville for that unit. Mississippi State has the fourth-worst defense in adjusted efficiency metrics at KenPom. Things should start clicking again on that side. And, even if they don't, Tennessee's third-ranked defense is going to give the Bulldogs fits. It should be a nice combo setting up a UT cover. Prediction: Tennessee 75, Mississippi State 60 -- Kyle Boone


Gary Parrish Matt Norlander Jerry Palm Kyle Boone David Cobb
UT -10 Tennessee Tennessee Miss. State
Miss. State
S/U Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee

So who wins every college basketball game today? And which underdogs pull off stunning upsets? Visit SportsLine now to get picks for every game, all from the unbiased model that simulates every game 10,000 times, and find out.

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